A Mythologist Looks at the Election of 2024 (2025)

Was Israel important in the presidential election?

2024

On the morning of Election Day in the United States, there was a passionate conversation filled with real concern about the outcome of the presidential election—was it in a battleground state? The conversation took place in a Jerusalem pharmacy located in the heart of the German Colony, an area known for its high concentration of American expats. The workers, conversing with customers in Hebrew, expressed concern about remarks made by former President Barack Obama during a rally in Michigan, which appeared to appeal to Arab voters. In Israel, the majority of Jews desired the return of former President and Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump to the White House; he was undoubtedly Israel's closest ally, having relocated the embassy to Jerusalem and acknowledged the Golan Heights as part of Israel. But what matters most to American Jews? Did the rising anti-Semitism, a direct backlash of the October 7, 2023, attacks, the subsequent and ongoing war in Gaza, which has now spread to Lebanon, and the serious game of cat and mouse with Iran influence American Jews' voting decisions?

The Rocky Future of the US-Israeli Special Relationship

The Washington Quarterly, 2021

After four harmonious years of US-Israeli relations, during which the Trump administration was closely aligned with the Israeli government led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the US-Israeli relationship is bound to come under strain during the next four years of Joe Biden’s presidency. Although President Biden himself has always been a strong supporter of Israel since his early days in the US Senate, his administration’s policies and preferences will almost certainly differ substantially from those favored by the Israeli government— whether it is led by Netanyahu or Naftali Bennett (who is farther to the right than Netanyahu). On the hot-button issues of Iran’s nuclear program and the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, it is already clear that the Biden administration is trying to reverse several of the policies of its predecessor—policies that the Israeli government enthusiastically supported. President Biden wants the United States to rejoin the 2015 nuclear agreement and get Iran to fully comply with it again. To do that, he will need to lift crippling US sanctions on Iran, which will be widely viewed in Israel as a dangerous concession to Tehran. By ending the

U.S. Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign

U.S. Election Analysis 2024: Media, Voters and the Campaign, 2024

Featuring 88 contributions from leading scholars, this publication captures the immediate thoughts, reflections and early research insights on the 2024 U.S. presidential election from the cutting edge of media and politics research. Published 10 days after the election, contributions are short and accessible for a wide range of audiences. As with our previous reports, authors provide authoritative analysis of the campaign, including research findings or new theoretical insights; to bring readers original ways of understanding the election

The Future of US-Israeli Relations

I'm speaking! (and you're not)

Canadian Dimension, 2024

We might reasonably ask whether, if Harris had been less adamant in her insistence that “I’m speaking!” and more willing to move on Israel, she might have persuaded enough of Biden’s 2020 voters—not only Muslim Americans, but young people and progressives who campaigned for the Democrats in 2020 but were nauseated by Biden’s policies on Gaza—to support her. Instead, they flipped or stayed home.

The Election of 2016: Madness, Machines, Migrations and Mythology

Madness, Machines, Migrations and Mythology

It's Our Global Lead, Stupid

Longitude, 2024

Foreign policy is never a major factor in deciding Presidential elections, and yet the unresolved question of the US international standing is still begging. And voters, especially the independents, are looking for reassurance and detailed plans about how the candidates plan to solve existing global crises, including immigration.

Bernie Bros Gone Woke: Class, Identity, Neoliberalism

Note: This book was tampered with after I signed off on the final design proof. Every print copy, including the Haymarket paperback version, contains four factual errors and several typos. This PDF version, with my errata statement at the start, and dated September 29, 2024, is the only correct version of the book.

One law for the West and another for the rest

Canadian Dimension, 2024

For over a year now, the West has been tearing up the legal and institutional fabric on which the post-war international order and its increasingly threadbare claims to moral authority rest—in much the same way as Biden has overridden the US judicial system to grant his son a pardon and Trump promises to weaponize the same system to settle scores with his political enemies.

Rachel Ehrenfeld - The Soros Agenda 2023 - Republic Book Publishers

Ataques à soberania e distopia política orquestrada: o papel de um ateu sem valores e neo-malthusiano.

Overtaken by Events: The Biden Administration's Deepening Engagement in Lebanon

Middle East Reactions to the First Year of the Biden Administration, 2022

A publication by the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung Israel and the Moshe Dayan Center.

Amnesia in Trump Country

2024

amnesia-in-trump-country/ Twice, when Donald Trump has won the presidency, Democratic politicians, liberal media, and 'progressive' academics have rediscoveredmomentarily and rhetorically -'the working class', and especially the 'white working class'. Senator Bernie Sanders recently said that Democrats lost the 'white working class' in 2016, and important parts of 'the Black and Latino working class' in 2024. Democratic strategists and pundits wonder how they lost it, as if the 'working class' was monolithic, and theirs to lose, like China before Mao's revolution, which was neither. In the rare moments when it becomes operative in US political discourse, 'class' is almost always preceded by the modifier 'middle', and used to mean 'job', 'salary-income', or, at most 'wealth' and 'status'. Those who speak of the working class almost never belong to it. To my knowledge, Chris Smalls, for examplethe young African American organizer who helped unionize an Amazon plant in Staten Islandhas not been invited on talk shows or interviewed on progressive podcasts or journals. In common usage, 'the working class' is static, synchronic, and divorced from concrete history or geography, which misses the complex, dynamic processes, at once material and cultural, spatial and temporal, by which classes, 'races', nationstates, and empires, are made and unmade together. For example, in the US Congress, Republicans accused Democrats of being 'soft on communism, ' and thus 'losing China,' in 1949; this led directly to the ascent of Senator Joseph McCarthy (R-WI) in February 1950, and war in Korea under Democrat Harry Trumanwhich Truman labeled an international police actionin June 1950. The US working class, which had achieved 33% union density, was largely incorporated into anti-communist, imperialist foreign policy through war production, as well as xenophobic nationalism. With few exceptions its leadership did not challenge Jim Crow. The Cold War is one of the answers to the historical question: how did we get here? But we need a longer-term perspective on the 2024 elections that places contemporary history in the context of previous political shifts and class struggles in the 1890s, the 1930s, and the 1980s. As with pre-revolutionary China, those with eyes to see could hardly be surprised by Trump's earthquake. Tectonic plates of Republican control at the state, local, and federal levels had been shifting for the past twelve to fourteen years, if not the past seventy. In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 45 per cent of union households, which comprised 31% of the total, compared to incumbent President Jimmy Carter's 48 percent, then won 46 per cent in 1984 -hence the phrase, "Reagan Democrats." This seems to have been forgotten since 2016. Though Trump won 45% of votes among union households in 2024, today those represent just 19% of the total. More importantly, Trump got 50% of the vote in the 81% of households that lack union members. As forecast, low voter turnout doomed Democrats. Much like Bill Clinton, Obama was a one-off, not a model to be cloned by management and consulting firms, or celebrity billionaire endorsements (for which Harris paid tens of millions). It was not hard to foresee that millions of urban voters, many aged 18-29, and many African Americans, would refuse to move to polling stations for Harris in places like Milwaukee, Detroit, and Philadelphia, since they had refused to move for Hillary Clinton; or that Trump would flip suburban counties outside those cities. With few exceptions, polls likely underestimated Trump voters by 2%-3%. This cannot come as a surprise to anyone who has been watching the extreme right advance worldwide since 2016. US sponsorship of Israeli genocide in Gaza may have been close to last on the list of voter priorities, but it was not least in terms of electoral impact in key states like MI and possibly GA, as well as among young people, especially in cities and inner suburbs, who might otherwise have voted for Harris. Under Obama's stewardship, the Democratic Party hemorrhaged votes, not only in congressional mid-terms in 2010 and 2014, but also at the state and county level. Building and maintaining the presidential brand led to two electoral victories, both pyrrhic. Democrats lost 1000 legislative seats nationwide under Obama, and Republicans achieved control of the executive, legislative, and judicial power in 26 states. In 2024, the figure was 23 (as it was in 2020),

Partisanship and Support for Israel in the USA

Palgrave International Handbook of Israel, 2023

While Republican support for Israel has surged in the new millennium, Democrats have become increasingly critical of Israeli policies toward the Palestinians. This polarization became particularly acute between 2015 and 2020 when the long-standing and previously unwavering Democratic inclination to sympathize with Israel over the Palestinians was wiped out. These shifts have several underlying causes, especially the long-term process of ideological and religious polarization between the parties. The polarization also has proximate causes: for the Republicans, the impact of the rise of radical Islamist terrorism since 9/11 for the Republicans; the impact of establishing a narrow right-wing, hawkish Israeli government for the Democrats; Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's close relationship with the Republicans and President Trump; and the parallel drawn between racism in America and the plight of the Palestinians.

In Plain Sight: The Evidence of Things Seen

CounterPunch, September 16, 2024

Stochastic Model and Worldwide Conflict Resolution: chaos, control, modeling and simulation

NEW APPROACH OF MODELLING - NEW TRIGGER - NO MORE FALSE CONVERGENCE, 2025

En Chine, l'IA de DeepSeek devenue aussi incontournable que politique 21032025 US-Russia agreement on the future of Ukraine 12032025 NEW TOPIC 07032025 How does the Applied Artificial Intelligence AAI and Humanoid change the way we live today and what are the future prospects for AI to become adopted? stuck/trampling/dropping/A war without end 24022025 French president hosts three-way talk with US president-elect, as Ukrainian fears grow over position of incoming administration 10122024 COULD THE AUTHORIZATION TO UKRAINE TO USE LONG RANGE AMERICAN MISSILES AGAINST RUSSIA UNDERMINE THE TRUMP PRESIDENCY? 18112024 War between Iran and the United States seems imminent 02102024 Creation of the "sub-trigger" concept in correlation with the cluster munition Sub-trigger7 A dangerous leak from Netanyahu’s office Sub-trigger6 What is the US going to do now? Sub-trigger5 accelerated version of driving Palestinians from their homes Sub-trigger4 Ireland, Spain and Norway to recognise Palestinian state "Sub-trigger3" Benjamin Netanyahu at a cross-road While waiting "Sub-trigger2" which will be Iran's response, why does Iran not allow itself to be drawn into a frontal challenge with Israel? 02/04/2024 Sub-trigger1 01/04/2024 Israeli Air Strike Reportedly 'Flattens' Iranian Consulate In Damascus, Kills Top Quds Commander The following scenario goes beyond a simple hypothesis: This scenario is currently running 18022024 The East-West Ukraine Standoff -Will Mutual Assured Destruction Work This Time by Imad Abdullah 09022024 Some clues for a planned war in the Middle East THE TRIGGER OF AN UNPREDICTABLE WAR Iran blames Israel, US for deadly blasts near grave of Guards general Soleimani 05012024 MUCH MORE DATA ARE REQUIRED Approaching the final phase of the genocide in Gaza or/and the trap of a 3rd world war? The guerrilla is stronger than an occupying army Enzo Traverso responds: Anti-Semitism, historically in decline, would see a spectacular rise What is the evidence that the State of Israel lost the war against the Palestinians? THE TEMPTATION TO ATTACK IRAN NEW TOPIC by Eduard Babulak How does the Applied Artificial Intelligence AAI and Humanoid change the way we live today and what are the future prospects for AI to become adopted? AI: the key battleground for Cold War 2.0? Mohamed Rabie left a reason for downloading Stochastic Model and Worldwide Conflict Resolution Is human consciousness the dominant factor in the accuracy of modelling a physical phenomenon? War seems imminent: each bloc mobilises its allies; the question is who will join the Ukrainians in a decisive fight? Emmanuel Todd: «La Troisième Guerre mondiale a commencé» The deployment of Patriot missiles in Ukraine Can there be “Real Peace” in Ukraine instead of “Rest in Peace Ukraine”? When and how, and what will it take? By: Imad F Abdullah, Architect AIA Note: Escalating Ukraine and Russia drags Europe's Capitals to Ground Zero with or without anti-nuclear pills. October 20, 2022 Vladimir Poutine S'exprime [19 juillet 2022] à Téhéran sur RT - Aucun bluff, aucune hypocrisie/Vladimir Putin Speaks [July 19, 2022] in Tehran on RT - No bluff, no hypocrisy END SCHEDULED FOR NOVEMBER OF THE WAR IN UKRAINE Washington master of the game 01/06/2022 Risks and Options 14 february, 2022 How big is Russia’s military build-up around Ukraine? I - Can Strategy forecast the outcome of war involving Russia, China or Iran, and contain an Apocalypse in the Middle East? By Imad F Abdullah, December 27, 2021 DISCUSSIONS (starting 28/12/2021) ANNEX - Cartographie de l’occupation américaine en Syrie Source: https://french.presstv.ir/Detail/2021/12/22/673197/Syrie-Hassake-base-militaire-Etats-Unis-forces-americaines-- II-a- If Lebanon crashes will the whole region blow-up? What Options from this Abyss? II-c-Iranian drone attack gave Israel an unexpected gift II -d- Can the present “Shut-Down” of the Israeli skies be the catalyst for peace? II - e - Israel confirms Syrian missile landed near Dimona nuclear reactor II-f How far is peace and how close is war: صاروخ واحد وسبعة اسئلة II-g - Who would live and who would die: The inside story of the Iranian attack on Al Asad Airbase II - h - UAE foreign minister meets Syria’s Assad, US slams visit to ‘dictator’ KW: Inside the attack that almost sent the U.S. to war with Iran The toll of an Iranian ballistic missile attack II - i- Accord entre la Syrie et les Emirats pour la construction d'une centrale photovoltaïque III- WHERE IS THE FUTURE OF PALESTINE REGARDING RECENT NORMALIZATIONS WITH ISRAEL? Follow-up on “Israel’s Nuclear Arsenal will impose the Two-State Solution” IV- Israel’s Nuclear Arsenal Will Impose The Two-State Solution V - Where to on Palestine? By Imad F Abdullah, Architect AIA, Houston, Texas VI - What to expect if Biden becomes President? VII - What is the “Trigger” that could catapult Trump to a second term? VIII- A Unfolding the November 2020 US Elections What if Trump Wins? IX- Israeli Nukes and the Deep State: Is there anything behind the “conspiracy” theories about the explosion in Beirut? X- NO PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST WITH M. TRUMP's Caesar law Some Excerpts: Looking ahead: Is Time on the Palestinians side and if not how to make it so? WHERE IS THE FUTURE OF PALESTINE? The Balance of power is a key issue Would there be a viable resistance axis soon? Can the Gulf countries normalization with Israel be addressed to regain support for Palestinians Can Foreign powers be offered enough reasons to support and what do they expect in return? Oslo Accords I and II What happens to West Bank industries if terminated? Demograpohic absorption with "One State" What will it take to convince Israelis who fought several wars to achieve their state that being all inclusive is in their best interest What if Israel refuses to accept Gaza within the "One State"? If the West Bank and Gaza cannot agree on a common course, could they become two Palestinian "sister states" and would they be able to negotiate just as well? Would a "Two States Solution" be a viable interim option for the Palestinians to get their state and then work on a merger of recognized equals with Israel? The diaspora intelligentsia and those in Palestine need to be a full participant in this dialogue to provide ideas and answers, and provide new perspectives on how to move the discussions forward and what steps to be considered and over what time frame. PREAMBLE " "In probability theory , a purely stochastic system is one whose state is non-deterministic (i.e., "random") so that the subsequent state of the system is determined probabilistically. Any system or process that must be analyzed using probability theory is stochastic at least in part. [1] [2] Stochastic systems and processes play a fundamental role in mathematical models of phenomena in many fields of science, engineering, and economics ." Our previous works since 1973 are based on the role of TRIGGERS to accelerate convergence, or to avoid false convergence; we succeeded in establishing strong link between war in UKRAINIA and war in SYRIA. A stochastic model evolves with respect to new triggers. We recall the effect of a trigger to change the game , it is decisive for the benefit of a given struggle.

Prospects of reinvigorating the Middle East Peace Process: a possible joint EU-US undertaking

Study requested by the AFET Committee, European Parliament, 2022

The resolution of the Israeli-Palestinian dispute has been an issue of strategic and common interest for the European Union (EU) and the United States (USA), for which they have both sought to cooperate from the onset. The Middle East Peace Process (MEPP) was initiated through the 1991 Madrid Conference co-sponsored by the Soviet Union and the USA. However, the most recent developments, such as the clashes in Gaza and the acts of violence in the West Bank that began in the summer of 2022, demonstrate that despite the numerous initiatives of international actors, these efforts have failed to end the Israeli occupation of Palestinian land. This study recommends that the EU should realise that the current status quo is not sustainable, considering that this situation could be further eradicating its influence over the MEPP and the Israeli and Palestinian actions, as well as undermining its legitimacy on the global scene. Instead of focusing on creating a new standing EU-USA mechanism on the MEPP, the EU should take a new stance of acting more independently while remaining loyal to its principles and approach towards the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

Will Muslim Opposition to Biden’s Support for Israel Influence the 2024 Presidential Election?

BESA Center Perspectives Paper , 2024

Israel's war in Gaza, which is being waged in response to the devastating Hamas attacks of October 7, has prompted a surge of anti-Zionist discourse among many Muslims in the West, including in the US. The American Muslim community has been politically active since 9/11. Muslim activists, clerics and Islamic organizations are among the most prominent Western voices condemning injustices against Muslims worldwide, and the Palestinian cause is often a priority. President Joe Biden's support for Israel in the Gaza war has angered many in the American Muslim community, and they may wish to punish him for that support in the November election. Will American Muslim opposition to Biden's support for Israel have a political impact on the US election?

U.S. Election Analysis 2020: Media, Voters and the Campaign

U.S. Election Analysis 2020: Media, Voters and the Campaign, 2020

Featuring 91 contributions from over 115 leading US and international academics, this publication captures the immediate thoughts, reflections and early research insights on the 2020 U.S. presidential election from the cutting edge of media and politics research. Published within eleven days of the election, these contributions are short and accessible. Authors provide authoritative analysis – including research findings and new theoretical insights – to bring readers original ways of understanding the campaign. Contributions also bring a rich range of disciplinary influences, from political science to cultural studies, journalism studies to geography.

Biden’s Administration Policies towards the Middle East: Initial Appraisal and Potential Prospect

International Journal of Social Science Studies, 2022

In light of the challenges, difficulties, and risks facing the United States, and the inherited pitfalls at the local and global levels, this research aims to examine the credibility of Joe Biden’s foreign policy campaign promises towards the region after one- year in office. The aim is to analyze the U.S. behavior towards the Middle East based on Hans Morgenthau’s approach to the pursuance of the national interest at all cost. The hypothesis is that Biden’s Administration will follow a permanent interest approach towards the Middle East which has been constant over long periods of time. The U.S. policy towards the Arab world has remained remarkably consistent across administrations ever since the discovery of the region’s energy resources. This analysis suggests that the desire to shift U.S. foreign policy emphasis from the troubled Middle East to south Asia[i] is a persisting foreign policy objective under Biden. However, the new focus on Asia Pacific and de-prioritization of the ...

Latinos for Trump: 2020 US Election Results: Why Did So Many Latinos Back Trump

2024

The surprising results of the 2020 election showed swings toward the Republican party among U.S. Latinos. Specifically, there were unexpected vote shifts in South Texas and South Florida. In addition to heavy media coverage of this voting shift, there is a slowly forming academic approach to studying the phenomenon of Latinos for Trump. In this chapter, three predominant schools of thought that explain this shift are reviewed and weighed. First, we address the historical literature that explains this shift should not be surprising given efforts to mobilize Latino Republicans by the party and allied groups. This sets the stage for Trump to appeal to specific groups within the larger umbrella of the pan-ethnic label. The second approach places the blame on a targeted and mostly unopposed disinformation campaign. Here the focus is on culturally relevant Spanish language disinformation shared and spread on WhatsApp. Finally, the last school of thought gives credit to the unique candidacy, persona, and populist approach of Trump in appealing to segments of the Latino voting base, showing where and how his appeal derives from. We also relate this schools of thought against each other and to narratives that have shaped Latino voting since the twenty-first century.